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global change data
Terra Spacecraft Open for
Business
First release of Terra data images announced
by NASA
After a picture-perfect launch into space last December,
NASA's premier Earth Observing System Satellite,
Terra, has completed on-orbit checkout and verification
and is "open for business," accoring to a NASA
press release. Terra,
an international mission and part of NASA's Earth Sciences
Enterprise, is opening a new window to the Earth and is providing
daily information on the health of the planet. First
images from the five instruments aboard Terra are being presented
during a press briefing today at NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC.
Terra is the first satellite to monitor daily -- and on a global scale
-- how the Earth's atmosphere, lands, oceans, solar radiation and life
influence each other. Terra's wide array of measurements will give a
comprehensive evaluation of the Earth as a system and will establish
a new basis for long-term monitoring of the Earth's climate changes.
"Terra is measuring and documenting the Earth's vital signs, many of them
for the first time," said Dr. Yoram Kaufman, Terra Project Scientist
at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. "Like our taking
vital signs to check the state of our own health, these data will help
us diagnosis several key aspects of the Earth's health. "The data will
help us understand our planet, aid in our distinguishing between natural
and human-induced changes, and show us how the Earth's climate affects
the quality of our lives."

According to a NOAA
press release, the United States has just experienced the warmest
January-March period ever, according to 106 years of record-keeping
compiled by NOAA. The latest data also show that June 1999-March 2000
was the warmest June-March on record. NOAA Administrator D. James Baker
and FEMA Director James Lee Witt released the latest figures at an
Earth Week news conference in New Orleans, La., which focused on global
climate change and links between a warming atmosphere and more severe
weather. "Our climate is warming at a faster rate than ever before
recorded. Ignoring climate change and the most recent warming patterns
could be costly to the nation. Small changes in global temperatures
can lead to more extreme weather events including, droughts, floods and
hurricanes," NOAA Administrator D. James Baker said. "We will continue
to provide the best possible data and forecasts to the policy makers to
help them as they deal with these difficult issues."
global change news
NOAA and NASA to Launch Latest Eye-in-the-Sky Weather Spacecraft
An advanced U.S. weather spacecraft, which will monitor
hurricanes, severe thunderstorms, flash floods and other
severe weather, is being prepared for launch May 3 from
Cape Canaveral Air Force Station. Liftoff of the Geostationary
Operational Environmental Satellite, GOES-L, is targeted to
occur at 2:27 a.m. EDT from Pad A at Complex 36 on Cape Canaveral.
"GOES satellites are a mainstay of weather forecasting in the United
States," said Gerry Dittberner, NOAA's GOES program manager. "They are the
backbone of short-term forecasting, or nowcasting. GOES images of clouds
are well-known to all Americans; the images can be seen on television
weather broadcasts every day." The real-time weather data gathered by
GOES satellites, combined with data from Doppler radars and automated
surface observing systems, greatly aids weather forecasters in providing
better warnings of severe weather. These warnings help to save lives,
preserve property, and benefit commercial interests. For example, in
1999, NOAA's National Weather Service had an average lead time of 11.6
minutes for tornado warnings and an average lead time of 41 minutes for
flash floods. "NASA is excited about providing another fine tool for the
National Weather Service to use for weather operations," said Martin A.
Davis, NASA's GOES program manager at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center
in Greenbelt, Md. The launch of the GOES-L is the continuation of a
25-year joint program between NASA and NOAA.
global change research
A "Moderate" Hurricane Season
Hurricane forecast team continues call for less active season than that of recent years; activity still above average
Colorado State University's hurricane forecast team continues to call
for a "moderate" season this year with 11 named storms, seven hurricanes
and three intense hurricanes predicted, according to a Colorado
State press release. These numbers, presented in the initial
2000 hurricane season forecast issued in December 1999, are above the
long-term average but lower than the number of storms than occurred
in four of the past five years. William Gray, professor of atmospheric
science, and his colleagues are calling for an above-average probability
of U.S. major hurricane landfall on the East Coast and Florida Peninsula
and an about-average probability of major storm landfall for the Gulf
Coast during the hurricane season, which runs from June 1-Nov. 30. "We do
not anticipate a season as active as those in 1995, 1996, 1998 or 1999,"
Gray said. "Still, we believe we are entering a new era for increased
storm activity and for East Coast landfalls by major storms. There is
a strong likelihood that in coming years we'll see more major storms as
we did during the 1940s, 1950s and 1960s."
The complete forecasts are available here.
global change research
Warming of the World Ocean
Automated North Pole station will take pulse of the Arctic Ocean
An international scientific team supported by the National Science
Foundation (NSF) will establish a research camp at the North Pole this
month. The scientists will use the camp to lay the groundwork for a
five-year project to take the pulse of the Arctic Ocean and learn how the
world's northernmost sea helps regulate global climate. James Morison of
the University of Washington, the lead researcher for the North
Pole Automated Station project, said the team will deploy a system
of floating buoys this season and, eventually, devices anchored to the
ocean floor to measure everything from the salinity of the water in the
Arctic Ocean to the thickness and temperature layering of its ice cover.
"This will be the first time we've put such a congregation of drifting
buoys at the North Pole," Morison said. Researchers will return to the
Pole repeatedly over several seasons to deploy additional buoys. Michael
Ledbetter of NSF's Arctic System Science (ARCSS) program said that after
the first year, the number of research projects will expand to cover a
broad range of sciences. Morison added that for long-term observations,
an automated station does the work of a manned platform, but at far
less cost.

Ozone losses of more than 60 percent have occurred in the
Arctic stratosphere near 60,000 feet (18 kilometer) in one of
the coldest winters on record. This is one of the worst ozone
losses at this altitude in the Arctic, according to a press
release from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Investigations
into the Arctic stratosphere have provided better insights into the
processes that control polar ozone. These insights considerably add to
scientists' ability to predict ozone levels in the future as chlorine
levels decline as a result of the Montreal Protocol, and as greenhouse
gases increase. Climate change in the stratosphere will likely enhance
ozone losses in the Arctic winter in the coming decades, even as
the amount of chlorine introduced into the atmosphere is decreased,
researchers say. This winter, the NASA sponsored SAGE III
Ozone Loss and Validation Experiment (SOLVE) and European Union
sponsored Third European Stratospheric Experiment on Ozone (THESEO)
obtained measurements of ozone, other atmospheric gases, and particles
using satellites, airplanes, large, small and long duration balloons, and
ground-based instruments. Scientists from the United States joined with
scientists from Europe, Canada, Russia and Japan in mounting the biggest
field measurement campaign yet to measure ozone amounts and changes in
the Arctic stratosphere. The activities were conducted from November
1999 through March 2000. The total amount of information collected by
the international campaign this winter is greater than the information
collected in any past polar measurement campaign. Most of the measurements
were made near Kiruna, Sweden with additional measurements being made
from satellites and a network of stations at mid- and high-northern
latitudes.

The latest U.S.-French TOPEX/Poseidon satellite imagery shows the
persistent La Niña pattern continues to dominate the Pacific
Ocean in a very similar manner to this time last year. For more than
a year now, lower than normal sea-surface heights, indicating cooler
temperatures, have continued along the coasts of the Americas and
have spread out into the tropical ocean. In contrast are the higher
than normal sea-surface heights that show warmer temperatures
dominating the entire western Pacific. These TOPEX/Poseidon
data, collected over the latest 10-day sampling cycle,
March 1 to 11, 2000, show the La Niña condition still exists.
The image of sea surface heights reflects unusual patterns of heat
storage in the ocean. Scientists continue to debate whether this image
hints at the presence of a large, longer lasting climate pattern, the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This long-term pattern that covers most
of the Pacific Ocean has significant implications for global climate,
especially over North America.
global change research
Warming of the World Ocean
Earth's "Missing Warming" Found in the Ocean
Oceanographers rummaging through piles of neglected data have uncovered
enough evidence to show that the Earth's oceans are warming and that
climate modelers' suspicions that a large part of the "missing warming"
has been taken up by the oceans. The international data search-and-rescue
effort "adds credibility to the belief that most of the warming in the
20th century is anthropogenic," says climate modeler Jerry D. Mahlman of
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) Geophysical
Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, New Jersey. It also suggests
that past greenhouse gas emissions guarantee more global warming ahead
and that the climate system may be more sensitive to greenhouse gases
than some had thought.
The entire
article and a news
summary are available on-line for subscribers to Science
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